Lithium as a conflict/war trade

What do you buy (stocks) when conflict and geopolitical tensions arise? Apart from commodities, US dollar, government debt and defensive stocks such as energy/food etc; the other big play is Lithium, if China can cut a supply of rare earths (Lithium not a rare earth but in that basket of demand) to Japan and in less than 12hrs Japan releases the Chinese boat captain, please refer to the post Major war/conflict cycle commencing? (update 5) Japan/China and Inches away from an Asian trade war (update 4) - first shots fired China/Japan embargo (rare earths)

It would be a no brainer that china will want to also monopolize the Lithium market as well as owning majority rare earths.

"China hints at curbing exports of Lithium and other rare earth compounds

(AXcess News) Hong Kong - The Chinese government indicated over the weekend at the National People's Congress (NPC) in Beijing that it would curb the export of lithium and other rare earth compounds, opting instead to build a strategic reserve.

Hu'ercha, a deputy to the NPC from north China's Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, said on the sidelines of the legislative body's annual session on Friday that China should set up a national reserve of rare earth resources and work out development strategies for rare earth-related new and high-tech industries "as soon as possible."

"The government should attach greater importance to the purchase and storage of the strategic resources," Hu'ercha stated.

Influencing the Chinese lawmakers comments is the fact that Hu'ercha is also mayor of Inner Mongolia's Baotou city, home to 75 percent of China's rare earth reserve. The Chinese politician urged the country to work out policies to support the development of rare earth-related industries and set up a development fund to strengthen basic research on rare earth.

Though China supplies about 90 percent of the world's rare earth, it has little say on international pricing due to inadequate industrial innovation and slow development of high-end products.

With China's booming growth in domestic auto sales, now ranked as the world's largest, Premier Wen may be listening to Hu'ercha and other Chinese party political backers as demand for lithium batteries and other products grow.

While lithium is not considered a rare earth and readily available, concentrations plentiful enough to mine economically are a different matter. Already companies like Korea's POSCO, the world's fourth-largest steel maker, are moving to build new sources of supply themselves while brine recovery technology lies at the forefront. POSCO recently made a rare bid to invest up to US $5 million in a junior exploration and development company's Mexico brine project if the level of lithium and other metals proved worthwhile. Chile, a hotbed of lithium exploration, is also the world's largest exporter. Pan American Lithium (TSX.V: PL), which entered into the letter of intent with POSCO, is also involved in a 100% company-owned lithium brine property in Chile. The recent earthquake in Chile delayed initial reports on Pan American's lithium property, though the Company continues to see record trading levels despite the delay."