Tuesday, August 18, 2009

The Dow still showing downside pressure, but no substantial correction at this point.

We have stock markets that have bubbled in price (overbought) and now are stabilizing into trading ranges. I wouldn't consider the last few days the beginning of a substantial correction. As our current stock markets will only correct on something dire.

China peaking out in 2009 as the whole economy goes into a devaluation slump is a near term possibility. The recent correction in China stocks may be that precursor, which was shy of fallen into a bear market, has (somewhat) stabilized.

The global stimulus that has pulled a a slew of economies out of recession (populous won't feel much different as the private sector continues to shrink) should be completely washed out by end year. Watch for a 2nd wave of stimulus.

The Dow is still trading within ranges after bouncing off 9398 resistance

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